The electoral map for the 2020 elections is starting to take shape.
Just a handful of battleground states will decide Donald Trump’s re-election.
And Donald Trump just got some bad news from one key state.
Liberals have spent years wishing Texas would to turn blue.
In 2020, they may get their wish.
But it is not because of the state’s growing Hispanic population.
Instead, Texas is trending purple because the state’s booming economy attracted hundreds of thousands of new liberal voters from states like California.
The booming economy that helped the Lone Star State weather the 2008 recession has also sparked a migration there that’s changing the face of Texas politics. The workers who’ve moved to Texas for jobs in the energy and tech sectors are more liberal than Texas natives, slowly turning the deep-red state into a richer purple.
Democrats now find themselves close enough to winning Texas that they’ve scheduled the third round of 2020 primary debates for Houston on Thursday.
Texas is a big political prize, and getting bigger. Second only to California in size and electoral votes, it’s the eighth-fastest growing state in the country, helped by a higher-than-average birthrate, immigration, and domestic migration.
And while a growing Hispanic population may someday fundamentally transform Texas politics, for now the leftward turn is driven mostly by the predominately white people moving to Texas from other states.
Without Texas’ 38 Electoral College votes, it is virtually impossible for any Republican to win the White House.
The influx of leftist voters was felt in the 2016 and 2018 elections.
President Trump won Texas by just nine points and Senator Ted Cruz squeaked out a re-election win over Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke by just three points.
Democrats believe those narrow races – as well as the changing makeup of the Texas electorate – mean Texas is in play for 2020.
We will keep you up-to-date on any new developments in this ongoing story.