Donald Trump recently kicked off his 2020 reelection campaign.
The biggest question in American politics is how the President stacks up against his Democrat competition.
And Donald Trump is going to be furious when he sees this prediction about 2020.
In the 2016 election, almost all the supposed “expert” prediction models forecasted an easy Hillary Clinton victory.
That trend is holding true in 2020.
Professor Rachel Bitecofer of Christopher Newport University revealed her model showed the Democrats romping to victory next November.
The Washington Examiner reports:
A university election model that predicted the blue wave in the House in 2018 almost to the seat is predicting a big loss by President Trump next year due to an explosion of bitter partisanship and Trump hate.
An election forecast model designed by Rachel Bitecofer, assistant director of the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University, predicted that Trump will lose the Electoral College 297-197, with 270 of 538 needed to win.
Three key states that helped push Trump over Hillary Rodham Clinton in 2016, despite her winning the popular vote, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, will turn back to the Democrats, she said.
“Trump’s 2016 path to the White House was the political equivalent of getting dealt a Royal Flush in poker,” said Bitecofer. “It’s probably not replicable in 2020 with an agitated Democratic electorate.”
Virtually all the experts and their models were wrong in 2016.
Almost everyone underestimated the depth and intensity of Donald Trump’s support.
And it appears all of the supposed “smart set” may be on the verge of making the same mistake again in 2020.
Donald Trump will be running for reelection with a strong economy and against a weak Democrat opponent.
It should surprise no one if he wins reelection.
So the “experts” look like they are set up to be proven wrong once again.
We will keep you up-to-date on nay new developments in this ongoing story.