Mark Twain noted, “there are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics.”
In other words, healthy skepticism is warranted when someone uses statistics to bolster their flimsy argument.
And liberal Democrats and their pals in the press were just caught spreading this massive lie during Kavanaugh’s confirmation.
Kavanaugh’s opponents repeatedly insisted that only 2 percent of rape or sexual assault allegations are false.
Because false allegations are so rare, they claimed, the charges against Kavanaugh were more than likely true.
As it turns out, it’s not even close to true.
The Washington Times reports:
Brent E. Turvey, a criminologist, wrote a 2017 book that dispels this notion. His research, and that of two co-authors, cited statistical studies and police crime reports.
“There is no shortage of politicians, victims’ advocates and news articles claiming that the nationwide false report for rape and sexual assault is almost nonexistent, presenting a figure of around 2 percent,” writes Mr. Turvey, who directs the Forensic Criminology Institute. “This figure is not only inaccurate, but also it has no basis in reality. Reporting it publicly as a valid frequency rate with any empirical basis is either scientifically negligent or fraudulent.”
“False reports happen, they are recurrent and there are laws in place to deal with them when they do,” he wrote. “They are, for lack of a better word, common.”
Mr. Turvey quotes a study by researcher Edward Greer, past president of the Association American Law Schools. He traced the one and only source for the “2 percent” assertion to a 1975 book, “Against Our Will: Men, Women and Rape,” which quoted statistics from New York City, not from across the nation.
Mr. Turvey cites 10 studies that debunk the 2 percent assertion in the U.S. and abroad.
“The power of any lie is equal only to our desire to believe it,” Mr. Turvey wrote. “Specifically, our need and eagerness to believe it. This is the problem with belief — which is accepting something as true or correct without proof.”
In this case, the lie was repeated frequently on social media and in the traditional media like the Los Angeles Times and the Washington Post to international sources like BBC News.
The media’s coverage of the entire smear campaign against Justice Brett Kavanaugh was disgraceful.
It shows why President Trump’s words ring true when he calls them “fake news.”
What are your thoughts?
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